Friday, July 30, 2010

Vital Statistics

GDP
(average growth for year to Sep 09)

-2.2%

CPI
(Sep 09 incr on Sep 08)

1.7%

Current account balance
(year to Sep 09, % of GDP)

-3.1%

Unemployment
(Sep 09)

6.5%

Employment
(Sep 09 change on Sep 08)

-1.8%


Primary


28 Jan 2009
Despite commentary focusing on the fall in the dairy payout from last year’s record high, a more rigorous analysis would take a slightly longer time horizon.  As the accompanying chart shows, a payout of $5.10 is in line with the long-term trend that has seen the payout rise an average 5.8 percent per annum since the mid-1970s. Adjusting for inflation, a forecast payout of $5.10 »»
16 Apr 2008
It’s been a tough few years for sheep farmers and now the drought.  So, the Free Trade Agreement with China would, no doubt, have been welcome news for the meat and wool sector.  China is New Zealand’s most important market for sheep skins, is a large market for sheep meat and is a valuable wool-selling partner. Meat and Wool New Zealand expects the agreement to potentially double the amount of export meat and skins sent »»
17 Sep 2007
Rising international log prices as a result of increased demand from Korea and south-east Asia could mean better times for forest owners.  MAF predicts strong log prices if the Russian Federation follows through on its intention to raise export taxes on its soft wood.  In addition, the recent drop in the NZ$ to more reasonable levels must be making forest owners sleep a little more easily. Nevertheless, the stumbling US economy and »»
17 Sep 2007
In our June forecast we welcomed rise of the dairy payout to $5.33 per kg of milk solids.  Surely the welcome now turns to elation with the announcement of $6.40 per kg of milk solids for the 2007/08 season.  Are we allowed to celebrate yet?  Questions that remain unanswered are: whether there is any more upward shift in the payout (as many commentators have predicted) and, what is the risk that the payout could fall as fast as it »»
Beef and lamb prices easing
Export prices of apples rose significantly towards the end of the marketing of the 2006 crop
Strong Kiwi dollar concerns forestry exporters
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