Vital Statistics
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GDP
(average growth for year to Sep 09)
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-2.2%
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CPI
(Sep 09 incr on Sep 08) |
1.7%
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Current account balance
(year to Sep 09, % of GDP) |
-3.1%
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Unemployment
(Sep 09) |
6.5%
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Employment
(Sep 09 change on Sep 08) |
-1.8%
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New Zealand Industry
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15 Dec 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 56.0 in November, up 6.1 points from October and 2.8 points from September. Looking year on year, the PSI in November 2009 stood 8.7 points above that recorded in November 2008 (47.3).
Over the last three months the PSI has averaged 53.0 indicating that overall service sector activity is beginning to slowly show signs of expansion. A PSI reading above 50.0 »»
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21 Oct 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 53.2 in September, up 1.9 points from August 2009 and 3.1 points from July. This is the third consecutive month this index has shown signs of expansion. And looking year on year, the PSI in September 2009 stood 6.3 points above that recorded in September 2008 (46.9).
Over the last three months the PSI has averaged »»
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19 Oct 2009
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 51.7 in September, up 3.0 points from August (48.7) and 2.0 points from July (49.7). This result is an improvement year-on-year, and indicates that manufacturing activity in New Zealand is beginning to show signs of expansion for the first time since April 2008. A PMI reading above 50 indicates »»
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13 Oct 2009
The latest retail trade stats are somewhat of a warm relief to the recent chill weather. Seasonally adjusted sales rose by1.1 percent in the last month. But the cool conditions may have contributed to the pick-up in retail sales. Clothing and softgoods sales in August had the largest increase ($14 million, 6.6 percent) across the 24 industries that StatsNZ monitors.
These statistics are being »»
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21 Sep 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 51.3 in August 2009, up 1.2 points from July and 6.3 points from June. This is the second month in a row this index has shown signs of expansion. And looking year on year, the PSI in August 2009 stood 3.4 points above that recorded in August 2008 (47.9).
However, over the last three months the PSI has averaged 48.8 »»
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17 Sep 2009
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 48.7 in August, down 0.9 points from July (49.7) but up 2.5 points from June (46.2) and 5.6 points from May (43.1). This result is an improvement year-on-year, but indicates that manufacturing activity in New Zealand remains in contraction as a PMI reading below 50 indicates manufacturing »»
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15 Sep 2009
Electronic card transactions (ECTs) are a lead indicator of spending behaviour. The latest ECT data are another sign that New Zealand consumers are wary of credit, but are not entirely averse to it. Credit card use continued the downward trend of the past two years, dipping to 45.8% of transactions in the year to August 2009. But given the value of seasonally adjusted retail sales has been static »»
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19 Aug 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 50.1 in July 2009, up 5.1 points from June, and 3.9 points from May.
Over the last three months the PSI has averaged 47.1 indicating that overall service sector activity has continued to contract throughout 2009. Looking year on year, the PSI in July 2009 stood 1.2 points below that recorded in July 2008 (48.9). A small difference, but a PSI reading above 50.0 »»
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17 Aug 2009
The June quarter saw the first rise in quarterly sales since the March 2008 quarter, climbing by 1.1 percent ($174 million). Retail sales volumes also rose, by 0.4 percent (approximately $56 million in 2009 dollar terms). This is the first quarterly increase in retail sales volumes since September 2007. However, this rise comes after a record 2.7 percent fall in the March 2009 quarter. As such, »»
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14 Aug 2009
The surveys that we monitor indicate that manufacturing activity remains in contraction. The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 49.7 in July, up from the 46.2 recorded in June and 43.1 recorded in May. This result is an improvement, but indicates that manufacturing activity in New Zealand remains in contraction as a PMI reading below »»
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21 Jul 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 45.0 in June, down 1.2 points from May but up 1.3 points from April.
Over the last three months the PSI has averaged 45.0 indicating that overall service sector activity has continued to contract throughout 2009. Looking year on year, the PSI in June 2009 stood 0.6 points below that recorded in June 2008 »»
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16 Jul 2009
One smart way that we can make the best of a recession is to put in place infrastructure that will help us fare better in the next one. Non-residential work put in place, and consents issued, suggest that this is occurring at least to some degree. There are other worrying comments coming from the Reserve Bank, however.
With the CPI at its lowest point in five years, the RB is already talking up »»
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15 Jul 2009
The three surveys that we monitor indicate that manufacturing remains in contraction, and that a strong NZ$ is not conducive to business confidence or sentiment, nor manufacturing sales and margins.
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 42.7 in May, down 1.0 point from April (43.7). This result is an improvement from the 41.9 »»
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20 May 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 43.7 in April, down 3.4 points from March.
Over the last three months the PSI has averaged 45.7 indicating that overall service sector activity has continued to contract throughout 2009. Looking year on year, the PSI in April 2009 stood 5.2 points below that recorded in April 2008 (48.9). A PSI reading above 50.0 »»
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15 May 2009
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 43.7 in April 2009, an improvement from the 41.9 recorded in March and 39.0 in February.
Manufacturing indice results for April were a slight improvement on March, but are similar to what we have seen over the last 11 months. These results indicate that manufacturing activity is continuing to »»
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29 Apr 2009
Latest data confirms further gloom for those dependent on the spending patterns of New Zealanders and visitors.
After many years of credit-fuelled expansion, retail spending for the year to February 2009 slumped to be 0.6 percent below that of the previous year.
The last time this measure was in negative territory was April 1998. Reinforcing the gloom is the result for total retail sales »»
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05 May 2009
The impacts of the global financial crisis include not only tangible impacts on New Zealand such as lower exports and reduced employment opportunities, but also impacts on consumer sentiment. Most media paint a picture of widespread downturn, negative business sentiment, and worried householders and consumers. But the December 2008 quarter and January 2009 monthly statistics suggest this »»
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05 May 2009
There is no doubt that the global economic downturn is having a detrimental effect on the tourism sector. Annual visitor arrivals peaked in March 2008 at 2,497,000 p.a., just 3,000 visitors shy of the 2.5 million per annum milestone that some industry observers expected to be achieved last year.
The last three quarters of 2008 saw falls in visitor numbers of 3.6 percent (June quarter), 2.1 percent (September quarter), and 1.5 percent (December »»
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21 Apr 2009
The BNZ Capital – Business NZ Performance of Services Index (PSI) stood at 47.1 in March, up 0.8 points from February. While this is an improvement on the previous month, this value is well below that seen in March 2008 (50.8). Service indices results for March were similar to what we have seen throughout the first quarter of 2009. However, over the last three months the PSI has averaged »»
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20 Apr 2009
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 40.7 in March, an improvement from the 38.9 recorded in February but well below previous March figures.
Manufacturing indices results for March were similar to what we have seen over the last 10 months. These results indicate that manufacturing activity is continuing to contract, with four of »»
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18 Mar 2009
The Economic Survey of Manufacturing for the December 2008 quarter has been released. Based on volumes, seasonally adjusted manufacturing sales fell 5.4 percent. This is the fourth consecutive quarterly fall.
This fall is the largest since the series began in 1994. However, Statistics New Zealand has expressed concern about increased volatility in the series during recent quarters and that »»
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28 Jan 2009
Despite commentary focusing on the fall in the dairy payout from last year’s record high, a more rigorous analysis would take a slightly longer time horizon. As the accompanying chart shows, a payout of $5.10 is in line with the long-term trend that has seen the payout rise an average 5.8 percent per annum since the mid-1970s.
Adjusting for inflation, a forecast payout of $5.10 »»
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27 Jan 2009
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 42.5 in December.
This is the second lowest recorded PMI value since the survey began in 2002, and the lowest December result recorded. The previous low result seen in a December month was in December 2005 when the PMI stood at 48.4.
2008 has not been a good year for manufacturing in »»
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17 Oct 2008
The Bank of New Zealand – Business New Zealand Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) stood at 47.0 in September, a reading below 50 for the fifth consecutive month.
This is a decline of 1.3 points from August, and the worst September value since the survey began in 2002.
Unfortunately, last month we also reported that the August PMI was the worst August value since the survey began. »»
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15 Aug 2008
Total guest nights for the year to June 2008 rose by 2 percent, with the positive trend for North Island guest nights and flat trend in the South Island continuing. While most months in the past year have seen growth in guest numbers, this June was softer than June 2007. From a regional perspective, only Wellington, one of twelve regions monitored, reported higher guest nights in June (plus 1 percent).
International guest nights have »»
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15 Aug 2008
You might think you’re at an auction with the latest retail trade stats – Going… going… ?
The retail sector was subdued in the last quarter. Although quarterly sales were higher than a year ago (2.2 percent), the quarter-on-quarter statistics show a slow down: seasonally adjusted sales fell by 0.2 percent. The slowdown is widespread, as although 18 of the 24 retail industries increased sales between the March »»
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15 Jul 2008
While statistics aren’t most people’s cup of tea, there’s a reason why most people won’t like the latest retail and inflation numbers out from StatsNZ.
Sales in those retail industries where most discretionary spending goes have seen falls over the last quarter. This includes lower (seasonally adjusted) sales for the three months to May 2008 in industries such as furniture and floor coverings (-17.9 percent), »»
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14 Jul 2008
Manufacturing activity slowed further in June with a 2.2 point drop from the previous month according to the Bank of New Zealand-Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) to 45.7.
Manufacturing activity has consolidated over the last six months, but this drop in the PMI in June was significant. It is the second lowest result since the Survey began in 2002, and is the lowest June value recorded. The previous lowest result »»
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16 Apr 2008
It’s been a tough few years for sheep farmers and now the drought. So, the Free Trade Agreement with China would, no doubt, have been welcome news for the meat and wool sector. China is New Zealand’s most important market for sheep skins, is a large market for sheep meat and is a valuable wool-selling partner.
Meat and Wool New Zealand expects the agreement to potentially double the amount of export meat and skins sent »»
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16 Apr 2008
After several months of easing in manufacturing growth, Business New Zealand’s Performance Manufacturing Index (PMI) for March 2008 dropped 3.5 points from February to sit at 48.3. Remember that a number below 50 indicates negative growth. This drop means the March 2008 PMI is the lowest March value recorded since the survey began in August 2002; the first time the PMI has shown a decrease in overall activity since January »»
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19 Feb 2008
The rate of manufacturing growth appears to be easing, with the Business New Zealand PMI recording a figure of 53.8 in January. This easing in expansion can be seen in the seasonally adjusted figures. While the seasonally adjusted PMI for January recorded 53.3, where a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding, this was below the December 2007 seasonally adjusted PMI reading of 53.8
Examining the »»
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19 Feb 2008
Latest building consent numbers further confirm the cooling of the housing market, with an easing in the number of non-apartment dwelling consents. The December 2007 month saw a 13.9% fall in the number of non-apartment dwelling consents compared to December 2006.
Overall, the total number of dwelling consents issued in 2007 dropped to around 25,500, being 7.7% down on the previous year. This year’s total comprised 23,000 non-apartment »»
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04 Feb 2008
The latest retail data released by Statistics New Zealand show a positive picture for the year as a whole, but a mixed picture for growth in the latest few months.
Three quarters of the core retail sales industries increased their sales between October and November. Sales in all four motor vehicle industries expanded. Automotive fuel sales climbed by 5.4 percent over the last month, and compared to December a year ago this »»
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30 Jan 2008
Strong growth in November was followed by an easing of expansion levels in December 2007. This easing of expansion can be seen in the Business NZ seasonally adjusted PMI for December. The PMI for December recorded 53.8, where a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding, below 50.0 that it is declining. In November 2007 the PMI was 56.7.
Examining the sub-indexes, all five recorded expansion for »»
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Tourism recovery helps prop-up spendingRetail trade activity slowing – but ever so slowlyNon-apartments, shops and offices underpin building activityCanterbury manufacturers more confident despite drop in salesManufacturing performance up 1.8 points in October '07The Business NZ PMI down 1.2 points in September '07Manufacturing index higher in August '07Retail trade softens in July '07Office buildings - the driving force of non-residential building industryContinuing growth expected in the building and construction industryDemand soaring - good news for dairy farmersBeef and lamb prices easingExport prices of apples rose significantly towards the end of the marketing of the 2006 crop Strong Kiwi dollar concerns forestry exportersRetail trade sales strong but slowing in August '07The Business NZ PMI up in July '07Expecting an on-going gentle expansion in TourismResidential housing market still growing
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