Saturday, September 04, 2010

Vital Statistics


GDP (avg growth, year to Mar 10)	-0.4%
CPI (Jun 10 increase on Jun 09)	1.8%
Current account balance (year to Mar 10, % of GDP)	-2.4%
Unemployment (Jun 10)	6.8%
Employment (Jun 10 change on Jun 09)	-0.1%

BERL Forecasts and Monthly Monitor Release Dates

Release dates for 2008

Issue	Available¹	SONZE²
		Thursday 31 January
February Monthly Monitor	Friday 15 February	Friday 29 February
BERL Forecasts Vol 51 No 1	Friday 14 March	Monday 31 March
April Monthly Monitor	Tuesday 15 April	Wednesdasy 30 April
May Monthly Monitor	Tuesday 15 May	Friday 30 May
BERL Forecasts Vol 51 No 2	Monday 16 June	Monday 30 June
July Monthly Monitor	Wednesday 16 July	Thursday 31 July
August Monthly Monitor	Friday 15 August	Friday 29 August
BERL Forecasts Vol 51 No 3	Monday 15 September	Tuesday 30 September
October Monthly Monitor	Wednesday 15 October	Friday 31 October
November Monthly Monitor	Friday 14 November	Friday 28 November
BERL Forecasts Vol 51 No 4	Monday 12 December	Tuesday 23 December

¹ Sent by email to subscribers; printed copy follows later

²Available from BERL website

Subscription

BERL’s forecasting service provides subscribers with a detailed assessment of the performance of the New Zealand economy and prospects for the near-term horizon. Quarterly forecasts, ranging over the coming three years, are provided for the following measures:

· employment, unemployment and migration flows

· production and GDP by industry (including the retail sector and construction)

· GDP by expenditure

· export receipts, import payments and trade balances (including services trade eg. tourism and education)

· interest rates and exchange rates

· consumer price inflation and wages and other costs

· government revenue, payments and balance

Alongside these forecasts, we issue commentary and interpretation for the short-term business environment set against the medium-term horizon. Included in these assessments are appraisals of likely global influences and trading environment facing NZ over the medium term along with a consideration of any changes in government spending and taxation policy.

Four Forecasts are issued to subscribers every year - March, June, September and December. In the intervening months (excluding January), subscribers also receive a Monthly Monitor brief update commentary on recent events and issues. Soft copies of the publications are available by 4pm on the 15th (or next working day) of the month. Hard copies are in subscribers' hands by the 20th.

Click here to view a recent BERL Forecasts.

Click here to view a recent BERL Monthly Monitor.

Subscription Cost

Annual subscription : $550 + GST (includes : 4 BERL Forecasts plus 7 issues of Monthly Monitor - soft and hard copies - and password access to database)
Single issue of BERL Forecasts : $180 + GST (hard copy only)

To subscribe, complete the order form and return to info@berl.co.nz ; or fax to (04) 931 9202.

Historical and forecast data

The BERL Forecasts database (in Excel spreadsheet format) contains numerous national and regional, historical and forecast, data series providing further detail on all figures and tables in the published quarterly document. This data can be downloaded from our website by subscribers with password access - passwords are issued upon registration.

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