Independent Review and Forecast of the Number of Notifications - BERL - economic research, forecasting, analysis, advice and consultancy for business, public sector and regional development

Friday, July 30, 2010

Vital Statistics


GDP (average growth for year to Sep 09)	-2.2%
CPI (Sep 09 incr on Sep 08)	1.7%
Current account balance (year to Sep 09, % of GDP)	-3.1%
Unemployment (Sep 09)	6.5%
Employment (Sep 09 change on Sep 08)	-1.8%

Independent Review and Forecast of the Number of Notifications

Client: Department of Child, Youth and Family

Date: November 2004

Author(s): Ganesh Nana

This paper reports on an analysis of the number of notifications to CYFS and a forecast of notifications for the years to June 2005 and June 2006. In the absence of a comprehensive search for independent drivers underlying the various categories, the forecast for the number of notifications hinge on assumptions or scenarios concerning behavioural and/or administrative changes.

The analysis investigated the number of notifications by region, notifier type, ethnicity and age. Forecasts disaggregated across a variety of categories were generated. Separate forecasts at the aggregated level were also generated as a cross-check on the robustness of the projections.

BERL#4348

Comments:

Only registered users can post comments. LOG IN to post a comment.

There are no comments on this article.

Text Size :